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I seriously doubt they would have the balls. It would be creatively suicidal.
If they want this to potentially be a franchise, they're not gonna axe a character that's vital to the team-dynamic of the heroes. It would piss off fans and non-fans alike, making unsatisfied viewers and complaining parents. There's no reason they'd take that kind of risk.
Sure, as you said, Transformers featured the deaths of some Autobot characters. But let's be honest; the lineup of Transformers is so vast that they're easily replaceable, and they never killed off the more important, marketable characters like Optimus and Bumblebee.
So yeah. Not gonna happen. The studio execs and marketing people would never let that slide. As someone else said, maaaaaybe they'd kill off Splinter, but one of the turtles? Shell no.
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