TMNT 2 Box Office Predictions and Results

[Cure]

$80 million opening weekend.

[TrickOrTreater]

Originally Posted by The Deadman

The Conjuring 2 and Finding Dory are also this month as well, if TMNT is able to outperform Conjuring I don't give it a chance against the juggernaut that is Disney

Man I wish it was coming out the same weekend.

[Technogeek29]

Originally Posted by TrickOrTreater

Man I wish it was coming out the same weekend.

Now it makes sense, They knew OOTS couldn't compete with those two movies so they had several early showings to get positive feed back from people and as much early cash as they could before the other movies just kicked it to the bottom.

[TrickOrTreater]

Originally Posted by Technogeek29

Now it makes sense, They knew OOTS couldn't compete with those two movies so they had several early showings to get positive feed back from people and as much early cash as they could before the other movies just kicked it to the bottom.

Sound theory.

I hope it backfires on them SPECTACULARLY.

[biganimefan]

Unlike the vocal minority on these forums, I did enjoy the first one(which I had very low expectations for when I went to see it) and this one I easily see enjoying too but I think it's impossible that it'll rival X-Men Apocalypse in terms of box office gross. I think we could see it break $500 million globally but much more than that I kinda doubt. And about $150-200 million in the US

[Vicky82]

Box office tracker for Monday and Tuesday in the UK

Rentrak UK & Ireland ‏@Rentrak_UK 3h
MONDAY:
1-WARCRAFT: THE BEGINNING
2-ALICE THROUGH THE LOOKING GLASS
3-X-MEN: APOCALYPSE
4-TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES 2
5-ANGRY BIRDS

https://twitter.com/Rentrak_UK/statu...88200455667712

Rentrak UK & Ireland ‏@Rentrak_UK 3h
TUESDAY:
1-ALICE THROUGH THE LOOKING GLASS
2-X-MEN: APOCALYPSE
3-ANGRY BIRDS
4-TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES 2
5-WARCRAFT: THE BEGINNING

https://twitter.com/Rentrak_UK/statu...88607881973760

Also

http://www.screendaily.com/news/x-me...ontentID=40562

PARAMOUNT

Like Warcraft, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows opened yesterday to take advantage of the school holidays.

Paramount’s sequel sliced to a non-final $1.05m (£720,000) from its 448 sites and, like Warcraft, won’t officially appear in the chart until next week.

[Vicky82]

Originally Posted by Panda_Kahn_fan

So in other words, in it's first test worldwide, it flopped.

Nope it hasn't flopped yet, that's only the 1st 2 days in the UK. The UK box office gross is a lot less than the US. We won't know the final result until next week

[ranger_scout]

The Wrap said that right now the film's opening weekend is tracking for an opening between $37 million to $40 million. We'll see about that because the first film made a lot more than predicted in its opening weekend. The source say that Finding Dory will take away its family-friendly audiences in a coupe of weeks. Paramount is making sure that the film will be a hit internationally by opening in 40 markets this weekend.

http://www.thewrap.com/teenage-mutan...-waters-ahead/

[NinjaPug]

Originally Posted by ranger_scout

The Wrap said that right now the film's opening weekend is tracking for an opening between $37 million to $40 million. We'll see about that because the first film made a lot more than predicted in its opening weekend. The source say that Finding Dory will take away its family-friendly audiences in a coupe of weeks. Paramount is making sure that the film will be a hit internationally by opening in 40 markets this weekend.

http://www.thewrap.com/teenage-mutan...-waters-ahead/

Damn....$25 million less than the first one if those projections prove to be accurate. Movie is also struggling in the UK. If it's like that in the rest of the international markets then this could be the end of Platinum Dunes TMNT.

[ranger_scout]

Originally Posted by NinjaPug

Damn....$25 million less than the first one if those projections prove to be accurate. Movie is also struggling in the UK. If it's like that in the rest of the international markets then this could be the end of Platinum Dunes TMNT.

MovieWeb is more optimistic. They are predicting a $61.3 million opening weekend. They also think there is a chance that it could be much bigger. However, this article may have been before the Warp starting tracking it.

http://movieweb.com/teenage-mutant-n...e-predictions/

As I mentioned earlier, we'll just have to wait and see because it wasn't until the day before the last film was released that we read it was likely to outperform expectations of box office analysts.

[Vicky82]

Originally Posted by NinjaPug

Damn....$25 million less than the first one if those projections prove to be accurate. Movie is also struggling in the UK. If it's like that in the rest of the international markets then this could be the end of Platinum Dunes TMNT.

I wouldn't say the movie is struggling in the UK. movies coming out on a Monday is very unusual here, they only did it because it's half term so it's spread out more. It will probably pick up at the weekend. As I said in a previous post, we won't know the final result until next week.

[NinjaPug]

Originally Posted by Vicky82

I wouldn't say the movie is struggling in the UK. movies coming out on a Monday is very unusual here, they only did it because it's half term so it's spread out more. It will probably pick up at the weekend. As I said in a previous post, we won't know the final result until next week.

Being #4 at the box office in its first two days doesn't seem like it's doing good to me. I wouldn't blame that on it being released on a Monday when people are choosing other options over it. I don't know the UK box office though so I could be wrong.

[Bry]

Originally Posted by NinjaPug

If it's like that in the rest of the international markets then this could be the end of Platinum Dunes TMNT.

Don't tease me with something so beautiful. I don't want to get my hopes up.

[Vicky82]

Originally Posted by NinjaPug

Being #4 at the box office in its first two days doesn't seem like it's doing good to me. I wouldn't blame that on it being released on a Monday when people are choosing other options over it. I don't know the UK box office though so I could be wrong.

I guess most people would be seeing the movie at the weekend anyway due to being at work, on holiday ect.

One other thing is that it's been in less screen times than other movies but from Friday it has more 2D times and has 3D and 4DX times as well and it's out in IMAX as well

[Andrew NDB]

Wait, they're actually calling the Warcraft movie, "The Beginning"? How pretentious... and misleading when it ends up failing.

[ranger_scout]

Two years ago on the Wednesday before the first film was released, The Wrap actually said the movie was tracking for a $45 to to $50 million opening. Their estimates were off by $15 to $20 million,

http://www.thewrap.com/teenage-mutan...at-box-office/

On that same day, Variety was predicting a $40 million opening. They were off by $25.6 million.

http://variety.com/2014/film/news/bo...ns-1201276883/

Even the Los Angeles Times was off by $15.6 million when they predicted a $50 million opening.

http://www.latimes.com/entertainment...807-story.html

I think by tomorrow or Friday, we should have an idea about what kind of opening Out of the Shadows will really be heading for.

[TrickOrTreater]

Originally Posted by Panda_Kahn_fan

So in other words, in it's first test worldwide, it flopped.

Looks like.

Spoiler:

[NinjaPug]

Deadline is projecting $30 - $35 million for its domestic opening weekend.

http://deadline.com/2016/06/teenage-...ew-1201765435/

Why haven't any of the bigger outlets reviewed this yet?

[TrickOrTreater]

Originally Posted by NinjaPug

Deadline is projecting $30 - $35 million for its domestic opening weekend.

http://deadline.com/2016/06/teenage-...ew-1201765435/

Why haven't any of the bigger outlets reviewed this yet?

Review Embargo probably.

And oh god I hope that number is accurate or even in the ballpark.

That would put it very close to flop territory.

For perspective, Fant4stic, one of the biggest flops of 2015, only made 25 million opening weekend. With 5 theaters less than BayTurtles 2 is said to have.

[Vicky82]

In 2014 TMNT did £4M in it's first weekend, if TMNT 2 does less than that this week, it will be considered a flop or bomb or whatever.