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#4241 | |
Mad Scientist
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#4242 | |
Mad Scientist
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#4243 | |||
Mad Scientist
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And, either way, an anonymous person online saying "trust me I've been told", when nowhere else is reporting any similar rumors, is going to be treated with a healthy amount of skepticism. Plus, context is really important. You say the rumor is that sales are down, but from what point? For arguments sake, let's say the peak demand for the line was when wave 1 went back up for re-order, wave 2 pre-orders were re-opened to retailers, and wave 3 was up for order. Maybe throw wave 4 in there as well. Fall off from that point is natural as most of the major characters that casual fans would want were in those waves. That's pretty much baked into the line. Quote:
What's best for Super 7 and the line? If a retailer orders 500 of each figure in wave 1, has to discount 200 and then orders 300 of each in the future, or if they just ordered 300 of each from the start? Direct customers might feel better with the second if it meant they weren't seeing as many sales, but Super7 is down 200 sales per figure (and the retailer likely made at least something on the discounted figures even if they didn't make as much as they would have liked). And if that 300 floor means Super7 are below MOQ then it doesn't matter whether they oversold the previous wave(s) or not, it's game over. Ultimately all that matters are two things - are Super7 happy with the number they are selling/are they selling enough to meet MOQ? And are retailers ok with the number they are selling and the percentage they are selling at discount? If both of those is yes, then there's no issue besides some fans being upset at seeing products on sale after they paid full price. So, don't pre-order and buy in the sale. You are still buying the figure. Super7 arguably won't care if you buy direct from them or from a reseller (yes, they make less from a reseller than direct sale but they must be happy with the margins they are offering to resellers). Quote:
And I can't speak for Super7, but that's a big presumption to say they couldn't work without direct customer pre-orders. They already took away the direct sale option for international customers so I do believe they could switch to a model of selling to retailers only rather than direct to customer if they wanted to. |
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#4244 |
Stone Warrior
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There's way too much to respond individually to here, but just a couple general points here.
First, I think it's clear that Super7 DID overproduce these, as they have nearly every figure from the first four waves available on their own website. Speculation on my part to be sure, but my guess is pre-orders were huge before they actually delivered product so they produced more than were ordered expecting the demand to remain high - only this was somewhat diminished when the QC issues started to become apparent. Again, that's just me guessing, but their entire business model is to do "made to order," so it seems odd that they have lingering stock of 13 of those first 16 figures. Second, I think it's fair enough to say Super7 is an "indie" company, which certainly explains some of their baffling decisions... but something that seems to get overlooked is that they've been around for like 20 years. This isn't some company that just started in 2019 or something - the poor QC is truly inexcusable. Having said that... for $38? I went ahead and ordered Krang. I'll try to hold out for steeper discounts on Ray and Ace. |
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#4245 |
Mad Scientist
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I think calling them an "indy company" gets a lot more difficult when you consider the HUGE number of IPs they're working with, too, including some of the biggest there are. They're pretty much only missing Star Wars and Marvel, right? They've got all of the other biggies covered, not to mention hundreds of smaller popular brands and the freaking NBA. The "aw shucks, we're just tiny" excuse wore thin years ago and at this point it's just insulting.
Interesting point about Super7 themselves having extra stock for sale. I hadn't realized that, and that does seem to point to them making extra. That's got to hurt when EE and others have those figures heavily discounted permanently. I wonder if they're dealing with factory minimums or they're just misjudging demand. They've still got the GI Joe SDCC exclusive for sale, too, and I would have thought that would be a pretty hot item. |
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#4246 |
Mad Scientist
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I agree, I think they're beyond indie at this point. Sure, they're not Hasbro or Mattel but they've been around a long time now and have lots of big licenses. I think some of their issues actually come from how rapidly they've expanded in the last few years/how many new lines they have taken on. They're stretching themselves very thin.
None of what I've said above excuses the QC issues which should have been resolved long ago at this point. They pull the small/indie card on this too often when they've been around long enough to know better and have better expected of them. Interesting point by Y2Josh on the early waves. I hadn't seen that myself as I can't order direct. Maybe they did over order based on the high demand for those waves. maybe there were some cancellations, maybe a mix of both. I don't think it would be factory minimum as those early waves are the biggest/most wanted characters in the franchise so if they were having to over order on the first waves there's no way the line would be viable going forwards. |
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#4247 |
Foot Soldier
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GITD Foot Soldiers are starting to ship early.
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#4248 |
Mad Scientist
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#4249 |
Mad Scientist
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The made-to-order model is a safety net approach as it allows companies such as Super7 to calibrate the line as they deem appropriate. No one actually loses money unless the retailer decides to sell it at less than the break-even point, which doesn't appear to be the case.
There is no immediate danger to the license from fluctuations in price. The only relevant enterprise environment factors at this point is whether they are allowed to renew the license. For example, Super7 lost the He-man license. Mattel lost the the ThunderCats license. And, NECA lost the Godzilla license. But losing the license is not directly related to public reception of the product or product pricing. It has more to do with the higher-ups and their notion of portfolio managment. |
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#4250 | |
Stone Warrior
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Except maybe Super Shredder, dependent on how he looks. |
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#4251 |
Mad Scientist
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Speaking of Super Shredder, who do people think we'll see over the next few waves?
Super Shredder has been teased (I think in a Fwoosh interview?) Napoleon Bonafrog, Chrome Dome, and Heavy Metal Raph are in the latest wave of ReAction figures. Whilst there's not a strict if they're in one line they'll be in the other, there's normally a good amount of overlap since Super7 make the characters they like. So I'm reasonably confident we'll see them over the next wave or two. I'd really like the next five waves to complete the punk frogs (including the missing two) and the Neutrinos. They could alternate waves like they have with Genghis and Zak, so something like 10 - Napoleon 11 - Kala 12 - Attila 13 - Dask 14 - Rasputin If we get Super Shredder I like to think that Tokka and Rahzar won't be far behind. Same for Groundchuck and Dirtbag with Chrome Dome. Tokka could actually work well in the 5th figure slot since he shared the Slash body in the vintage line. On that fifth slot, April could easily have a repaint (either the green outfit or the yellow with purple) whilst they're offering easy variants. Hopefully with a new head sculpt. Casey could as well, maybe do the Mirage red top and throw in the unproduced unmasked head. Turtle variants - maybe alternate between the rock stars and sports stars? And throw in Undercover Don! And dear God, please give us Rat King and Traag sooner rather than later ![]() |
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#4252 |
Thug
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Location: Rotterdam NY
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At this point my needs are Shogun Shoate and Hothead as hopefully bigger figures like Triceraton is, and my wants are Groundchuck and Dirtbag.
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#4253 | |
Mad Scientist
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Quote:
Also, if Super7 attempts Super Shredder (logically, Rahzar and Tokka too), a film turtles wave might be in the cards (wave 9 flocked Splinter might be a test trial for a flocked film Splinter). |
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#4254 |
Mad Scientist
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Ya'll are applying too much logic to this. This is Super7 you're talking about. I wouldn't put it past them to only give us one frog, just Tokka, and no more sports turtles.
(no I don't actually expect that, just pointing out that S7 does what S7 wants to do, not what "makes sense") |
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#4255 | |
Stone Warrior
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![]() More than any other TMNT line, this one relies the most on nostalgia. So even though little kid me wanted figures of Attila and Rasputin, adult me doesn't care about having updated versions of figures that never existed to begin with. That said, the only figures I'd say I'd consider must buys at this point, discount or no, would be Rat King and Usagi. There are other figures I wouldn't mind having, but I'd need to see the QC improve or get them at a hefty S7 glitch or EE discount. As far as what I'd think is likely for subsequent waves? I'm expecting them to continue in the vein of Wave 9 for at least a few waves, with two no-brainers, a random variant (I don't care about the variants, but one would think they'd TRY to finish one of the sublines before introducing a fourth), a deeper cut figure (though maybe Zak isn't a deep cut - I just know none of my friends had him when we were young) and then a repaint/re-deco. |
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#4256 | |
Thug
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Anyway, I’m really hoping they are able to pull off Needle Nose and Killer Bee in between waves. If they are going to scale them to the 7” figs they are going to be massive and rife with detail. They’d definitely be centerpieces in my collection. I have a lot of fond memories of those dudes. |
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#4257 |
Mad Scientist
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I do agree with Zelu (according to his insta story) that Ray Fillet is the cream of crop of the entire Super7 line. Zelu is known for making the best toon version of April (hopefully NECA hires him to make April, Tempestra, and Mona Lisa - his female figures are exceptional).
Ray Fillet is currently $38 along with Leatherhead, Surfer Leo at Entertainment Earth (I think Bebop is like $23). GITD Mutagen Man is $15 if anyone wants him (I bought two at retail like a clown because I was misled by GITD Baxter which was $150+ in the aftermarket!). |
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#4258 | |
Mad Scientist
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#4259 |
Mad Scientist
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Wave 9 is showing up on Amazon for preorder as sold and shipped by Amazon.
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#4260 | |
Mad Scientist
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Quote:
There's really no point in preordering Super7. I almost didn't preorder wave 9 but then their website glitched up so I figured that I would at least be getting figures at a discounted rate. Likewise, while I generally preorder ThunderCats, I passed on the Reptilian Guard, Reptilian Warrior and Reptilian Brute as I could probably get them for a discounted price. This coming from a person that typically preorders everything. Last edited by Dask; 12-05-2022 at 12:40 PM. |
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