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And while I think it would be silly for Marth to get the boot...well...Ike DOES have a very slight variation of his moveset. I can't see them creating an entire new starting character like Ike, and then giving him a cloned moveset of an older character that would also end up being unlockable.
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This is a fair argument, but if you've been keeping up with Ike in videos and impressions and such, you'll find he is not that much like Marth. He shares Marth's Counter move and his Standard and Up moves are slightly similar, but he's a slow and strong character (supposedly the slowest and strongest so far) whereas Marth was the complete opposite being a light and swift character. Whether or not Marth will end up in the game is anyone's guess, but Ike is not his clone.