TMNT 2 Box Office Predictions and Results

[Leolead]

Originally Posted by TigerClaw

Its gonna be way more then that, these people are always underestimating these movies.

"These movies"? If you mean Comic book movies, then no. They overestimated both XMA & CW opening weekend. If anything, it might even be lower than that.

[NinjaPug]

Originally Posted by Leolead

"These movies"? If you mean Comic book movies, then no. They overestimated both XMA & CW opening weekend. If anything, it might even be lower than that.

There's no use trying to throw common sense or facts at him.

I do think the box office will be slightly higher than what they're projecting though. I'm going to guess $48 million for opening weekend.

[chrisdude]

The good thing is, according to box office mojo, the budget for this film is only $10mil more than the last.

I can't imagine them opening lower than the last film, though. I seriously doubt that. The first movie got bad reviews, but I don't think it disappointed viewers, at large. And viewer response to the first film is the biggest factor for a sequel's success, in my observation. And in this case, it's lukewarm. Plus, they've doubled down on the fan service, this time around. My prediction, with all observation and no data or research, is that they'll open right around what the last film did.

[Bry]

Well, I believe the last movie got a B CinemaScore... which sounds halfway decent, except I believe any score below an A-/B+ is considered pretty poor by that scale's standards. My understanding is that the vast majority of movies score above a B+.

All of the online audience/user reviews are also pretty tepid at best. I get the impression the last one was a pretty mixed bag on the whole. It definitely wasn't a smash hit with the general audience.

[NinjaPug]

You're right. A Cinemascore of B isn't considered good.

[ranger_scout]

USA Today wrote that even though it is likely to open lower than its predecessor, they have this quote from comScore senior media analyst Paul Dergarabedian:

"Ninja Turtles remains a viable and revenue-generating brand."

http://www.usatoday.com/story/life/m...isit/85245294/

[Vicky82]

This website predicts it's going to do $50M at opening weekend.

http://reallifestl.com/2016/06/me-be...-tmnt-popstar/

[chrisdude]

These predictions vary way too much for them to matter.

[Foombamaroom]

I doubt this thing is making $50 million opening weekend. The general public audience doesn't really care for it.

[Andrew NDB]

Originally Posted by Foombamaroom

I doubt this thing is making $50 million opening weekend.

It might. But even then it'll be a 50-60% crash the weekend after.

[CyberCubed]

Regardless it'll probably do decent enough that they'll squeeze a third movie out of this universe before they call it quits.

Maybe after they can let the movie franchise rest or do another reboot.

[Sabacooza]

Dumb thought but what if they still get it wrong when they reboot it?

[CyberCubed]

Originally Posted by Sabacooza

Dumb thought but what if they still get it wrong when they reboot it?

Wouldn't it be a whole new set of directors/writers though? Either way it can't be as bad as this.

[Vicky82]

Originally Posted by CyberCubed

Wouldn't it be a whole new set of directors/writers though? Either way it can't be as bad as this.

It depends on who they are though, If they have a reboot, they probably bring in the director who did the Fantastic flop movie.

[AquaParade]

I'm wondering what the conditions are regarding Platinum Dunes leaving or dropping the license.

[Andrew NDB]

Originally Posted by CyberCubed

Wouldn't it be a whole new set of directors/writers though? Either way it can't be as bad as this.

Wouldn't matter if Nick/Viacom is still having them as hired guns toe the company line: "COWABUUNGA!!! BEBOP AND PIZZA YOO!!!"

[ranger_scout]

Entertainment Weekly predicts a $30 million opening.

http://www.ew.com/article/2016/06/02...inja-turtles-2

However, two years ago, they predicated a $40 million opening for the first film. Their estimates were off by $25.6 million and thought it would debut at #2 behind Guardians of the Galaxy.

http://www.ew.com/article/2014/08/07...-ninja-turtles

[CylonsKlingonsDaleksOhMy]

Originally Posted by Andrew NDB

Wouldn't matter if Nick/Viacom is still having them as hired guns toe the company line: "COWABUUNGA!!! BEBOP AND PIZZA YOO!!!"

https://img0.etsystatic.com/027/0/78...71980_g2v7.jpg

As much as you seem to despise any iteration of TMNT that isn't Mirage/Image, even you have to admit that basing movies off Nick, 4Kids, or IDW versions of TMNT would be a vast improvement if executed with any amount of skill (or even mediocrity).

[JTH]

I don't see any way it makes what the first did.

The first was not viewed by the general public as a good movie, so you're not bringing back that entire percentage of audience back, unless there are the die hard goofs that see this thing dare I say 5-6-7 times.

You have to get that first movie right by audience standards, you don't get a second chance to make a first impression. Hell, even the 1st Transformers was...okay, fans came back in droves.

I'm gonna say it makes 45 mil opening week, which sounds big compared to what the websites are saying...but bare in mind that would still be less than what Angry Birds made O.W.. Which I would say is not a good feather in the cap for a movie with twice the budget.

Overall domestic I'll say 140-145 mil. Not terrible, but will by no means be a hit.

[TurtlePower85]

Saw it and loved it, and hated the first one.