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Old 08-11-2014, 04:23 PM   #101
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I expect some people who saw GOTG at the weekend and want to see TMNT will probably go see it this weekend.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:29 PM   #102
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Originally Posted by SwiftNinjaFox View Post
Guardians broke records on Monday-Thursday after its opening weekend. Yet despite that, they saw more than a 50% drop to this weekend.

50-60% (or more) drop off after opening weekend has been standard this year, it seems, with very few remaining dominant.

TMNT will probably drop to around 40m next weekend, but that's all they need to get into the black on budget. After that, it's all profitable.
Probably closer to $30-35 mill next weekend, but even so that "profit" from subsequent ticket sales won't be much going into the second week and the 3rd weekend.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:29 PM   #103
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Originally Posted by SwiftNinjaFox View Post
Guardians broke records on Monday-Thursday after its opening weekend. Yet despite that, they saw more than a 50% drop to this weekend.

50-60% (or more) drop off after opening weekend has been standard this year, it seems, with very few remaining dominant.

TMNT will probably drop to around 40m next weekend, but that's all they need to get into the black on budget. After that, it's all profitable.
That's provided it doesn't drop much, mind you - a "standard" 50% would get it $32-33m next weekend.

Jester makes a good point, though. GotG's OW numbers were massive for August, and even dropping 50-something percent meant that it still did great numbers for a second-week release this month. The numbers were between TMNT's first weekend and GotG's second were much closer than both movies' first weekends compared directly. It's possible that TMNT could drop a lot quicker than GotG did, or will.

Not predicting anything, mind you. This August has proven especially unpredictable.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:31 PM   #104
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Probably closer to $30-35 mill next weekend, but even so that "profit" from subsequent ticket sales won't be much going into the second week and the 3rd weekend.
It's the overseas box office I expect to be painfully small, mainly because it's going to be downloaded through torrents between now and the release dates all the way out to December. Still don't know what they're thinking with that.

I'd think you'd want worldwide release within at least 3 weeks of its premiere (on ANY film, not just TMNT).

And I was saying around 40 million based on the 93 it took worldwide. Wasn't thinking just domestic. Just to clear up the math differences.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:34 PM   #105
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True...forgot about the international audience. That staggered release schedule could go either way. I still can't get over England getting it in October and Australia and New Zealand in 2 different weeks in September. What needs changing so it can be released over there?
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:38 PM   #106
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True...forgot about the international audience. That staggered release schedule could go either way. I still can't get over England getting it in October. What needs changing so it can be released over there?
All swords and nunchucks need to be replaced with salami and bread sticks, natch.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:39 PM   #107
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I really really want to know how much this movie needs to make to justify a sequel. >.<
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:40 PM   #108
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First off, I'm pleasantly pleased with the opening weekend performance that tells me that the return of the franchise to early 1990s levels is just about there. The problem with some later global releases is that it will be easier to acquire a copy as the movie heads onto streaming, TV, and then video. Considering that the marketing with Nick hasn't been quite as widespread as the OT era was, it proves that there is still interest in the foursome. I predict around $175 million/$325 worldwide when all is set and done. IMO once you've profited in the black, its enough to justify a sequel, especially with Nick still going strong after almost two years.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:42 PM   #109
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Also worth noting: most of the other big action blockbusters this year dropped by at least 60% in their second weekend.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:46 PM   #110
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All scenes with swords and nunchucks need to be replaced with salami and bread sticks, natch.


I think the nunchuck issue here has been relaxed here now (still illegal to carry them around in the streets). They haven't edited the Nick show with Mikey using the nunchucks so I think we are safe. The Movie looks like it's a 12A so I doubt they will be editing it.

I think they wanted to release it in October because kids are off school for a week.

If they release TMNT 2 later than the US again then I think us UK fans should start bombard Nick and Paramount with angry tweets, emails ect.
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Old 08-11-2014, 04:51 PM   #111
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There's still many theaters that have yet to show TMNT. I'm not worried.
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:02 PM   #112
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Was hoping maybe nothing big was opening this coming Friday/this week so maybe they could hold onto the top seat longer than their first week... then I looked at the "coming soon" list. Oh. Current champs vs two possible heavy hitters vs each other... there may be blood.

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Old 08-11-2014, 05:20 PM   #113
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Was hoping maybe nothing big was opening this coming Friday/this week so maybe they could hold onto the top seat longer than their first week... then I looked at the "coming soon" list. Oh. Current champs vs two possible heavy hitters vs each other... there may be blood.
What else is out this friday besides Expendables?
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:24 PM   #114
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What else is out this friday besides Expendables?
Lets Be Cops

I doubt the Expendables will do well as it was leaked online few weeks ago.
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:25 PM   #115
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What else is out this friday besides Expendables?
Besides Expendables 3, There is also Let's Be Cops and The Giver, Theres a ton of other movies coming out on August 15.
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/movie/in-theaters/
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:26 PM   #116
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I think this Weekend will go like this
1. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
2. Guardians of the Galaxy
3. The Giver
4. Lets Be Cops
5. The Expendables 3
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:28 PM   #117
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I think this Weekend will go like this
1. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
2. Guardians of the Galaxy
3. Lets Be Cops
4. The Expandables 3
5. Into The Storm
You really think Let's Be Cops will come in 3rd? That's an R rated film, and The Expendables 3 is PG-13, It has quite an appeal to the fans that enjoyed watching there favorite action film stars on the big screen.
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:28 PM   #118
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Besides Expendables 3, There is also Let's Be Cops and The Giver, Theres a ton of other movies coming out on August 15.
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/movie/in-theaters/
Well I meant like big releases that have a chance of making around 20 something million.

Let's Be Cops might do something. Expendables is a factor too. Just don't know how big. Expendables 2 dropped off a bit from the first so who the hell knows. It's kind of pointless to speculate since August has been weeeeeird.
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:30 PM   #119
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Well I meant like big releases that have a chance of making around 20 something million.

Let's Be Cops might do something. Expendables is a factor too. Just don't know how big. Expendables 2 dropped off a bit from the first so who the hell knows. It's kind of pointless to speculate since August has been weeeeeird.
there is also this new Scifi film called The Giver, Which happens to feature Jeff Bridges and Meryl Streep being part of the cast.
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Old 08-11-2014, 05:32 PM   #120
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there is also this new Scifi film called The Giver, Which happens to feature Jeff Bridges and Meryl Streep being part of the cast.
Is that wide? I could've sworn it was a limited release thing.

Also Scooter Braun produced it. That ish is weird.
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